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Ranking benchmark

Model Zero vs the fantasy football competition

Model Zero finished 21–41 against 62 organization and draft-market boards across thirteen NFL seasons, comparing players within their positions. Explore each matchup and its sources.

August 23, 2026· Ball Ranks
FantasyProsBall RanksWalterFootballFantasyFootballCalculator real-draft ADP
62
matchups
13
seasons
21–41
draft-board record
21 wins · 41 losses · every board time-stamped before kickoff

This is the broad view: one opponent per source in each season. Individual panelists get their own page.

See every individual expert →

The comparison

Pick a year.

Within-position rank error (%). Lower wins.

Within-position accuracy
Players are compared only with others at their position, using actual season fantasy points in the board’s scoring format. Each position contributes equally to the percentage error.
Model Zero went 3–1 in 2025
The whole field
Model Zero's edge against every board
LostWon
Organization
−4.3%Even+4.3%
Result
FantasyPros consensus
FantasyPros · 294 players
-4.3%
ESPN
ESPN · 256 players
+0.6%
Real-draft ADP
FantasyFootballCalculator · 193 players
+1.3%
CBS Sports
CBS Sports · 167 players
+2.4%

Each bar is Model Zero's percentage edge inside that source's own matched-player pool. Use it to compare direction and relative edge—not raw miss scores across differently sized boards.

The table

2025, line by line

OrganizationPlayersModel ZeroTheir scoreResult
CBS Sports
CBS Sports
16724.929%25.550%Won by 0.62
ESPN
ESPN
25624.214%24.363%Won by 0.15
FantasyPros consensus
FantasyPros
29419.891%19.078%Lost by 0.81
Real-draft ADP
FantasyFootballCalculator
19326.198%26.541%Won by 0.34

Across every season

Best win, toughest loss, closest call.

Biggest Model Zero win
NFL.com
2016
Won by 2.68
Biggest loss
ESPN
2022
Lost by 5.39
Closest match
NFL.com
2020
Lost by 0.01

Sleeper receipts

One for us. One for them.

Model Zero's standout sleeper
Cam Akers (RB)
2021 · vs ESPN
The pick
#76
Other side
#11
Actual
#74
ESPN's standout sleeper
DST:NYG (DST)
2025 · vs ESPN
The pick
#20
Other side
#3
Actual
#20.5

Experimental all-time leaderboard

Everybody, stacked up.

Lower is better. Board size is normalized, multiple boards are averaged within a season, and every season counts equally. No small-sample adjustment is applied.

#113 seasons
FantasyPros consensusThe archived expert consensus board.
FantasyPros
Normalized miss19.83
#27 seasons
CBS Sports
CBS Sports
Normalized miss22.78
#37 seasons
WalterFootball
WalterFootball
Normalized miss22.98
#413 seasons
ESPN
ESPN
Normalized miss23.12
#55 seasons
NFL.com
NFL.com
Normalized miss23.62
#613 seasons
Model ZeroAverage within-position error across the displayed matchup pools, with each season weighted equally.
Ball Ranks
Normalized miss24.04
#74 seasons
Yahoo
Yahoo
Normalized miss24.54
#813 seasons
Real-draft ADPHistorical average draft position from FantasyFootballCalculator.
FantasyFootballCalculator
Normalized miss26.06

Each position’s weighted rank error is divided by its matched rank range, then positions are averaged equally. The model uses all displayed matchup pools; each opponent uses its own pools. Only sources with at least two scored seasons appear; two-season entries are labeled as small samples.

Sources

Check every board.

Every matchup links back to its source: the FantasyPros rankings feed for the consensus and WalterFootball boards, and FantasyFootballCalculator's public archive for the real-draft ADP. Sites whose historical boards we have not yet recovered in a verifiably pre-kickoff form are absent, not exempt — the archive grows.

View all years
Position by position
Each position is ranked by its season fantasy points. The model and opponent are compared on the same players.
Smooth importance
Weight falls continuously from 2× for the best actual finisher within each position to 1× for the last.
Same eligibility
Rookies are removed, and a player with no actual season drops out of the pool for both sides equally.